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Woelk: Buffs find out today how they stack up

If indeed you have designs on playing for conference titles and being a contender in the national picture, there's no better barometer than playing the best.

Say hello to the big dogs, Colorado. The Oklahoma Sooners are in town.

If the Buffs want to know how they measure up in the big picture, they'll have a very good idea by day's end.

Almost nobody — at least nobody willing to bet their next pay check — believes the Buffs have even a puncher's chance today. The oddsmakers are giving at least three touchdowns to anyone who has the urge to place a wager on the black and gold. The general consensus is the Buffs will be more black and blue when this one is finished.

The Sooners are considered to be among the big three this year in college football, joining Southern Cal and LSU. A half-step behind is Florida, with another half-dozen or so doing their best to jump from pretender to bona fide contender.

This isn't Arizona State or Florida State.

The Sooners are the real deal.

No. 3 OU is the highest-ranked team the Buffs have played since 2005, when they got two shots at No. 2 Texas. In case you've forgotten, that didn't turn out so well. The Longhorns won the first matchup, 42-17, then drilled the Buffs 70-3 in the Big 12 title game, putting the final touches on Gary Barnett's exit.

Fact is, the Buffs haven't fared well against top-10 teams in years. They've lost nine in a row against top-10 foes, with their last victories coming in 2001, when they knocked off No. 2 Nebraska and No. 3 Texas in back-to-back weekends.

There are all kinds of theories — that's code for wishful thinking — on how the Buffs can spring an upset of epic proportions today.

They all involve mistakes by the Sooners and a perfect game by the Buffs. CU faithful envision some early turnovers by the Sooners (OU has turned it over only five times this year), or a big special teams play (the Buffs haven't produced any big returns since the season opener vs. Colorado State).

Thing is, Arizona State attempted to hand CU half that recipe, and the Buffs politely handed it back. ASU gave the Buffs a 14-point lead and a chance for more, but the Buffs couldn't capitalize.If the Buffs are to have a legitimate shot today, they can't depend upon fluke occurrences.

More than anything else, the Buffs have to prove their offense can move the ball against a good — in this case, very good — defense.

It's already been the difference in two games this year. If the Buffs could have mustered any kind of consistent offense against either ASU or Florida State, they would have had a better-than-even chance of winning those games.

If they can't move the ball today early in the game, it will be a long, long day.

Thus far, we've seen good things from CU's defense. While today will be by far the biggest test yet for Buff defenders, CU fans still like to think the CU defense can at least keep the game close early.

But if the offense can't produce anything more than four- or five-play drives, the defense will wear down. It happened at ASU, and it will happen today.

Colorado fans are also hoping (again, wishing) that the Sooners will be looking ahead to next week's Red River Shootout with Texas.

Not gonna' happen. OU coach Bob Stoops has made sure his team will not look past anyone.

It still comes back to CU's offense. The Buffs have to be able to move the ball, keep the defense off the field and shorten the game.

Not that a CU win is impossible. Remember, this is already a season when Appalachian State knocked off Michigan.

But if the Buffs are going to have a chance, they will have to play a perfect game.

That's not something we've seen thus far.

Today would be a heck of a time to start.

Comments

Posted by NJBuff on September 29, 2007 at 5:19 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Heck of a time to start lets go Buffs!!!

Posted by GoBuffs07 on September 29, 2007 at 8:57 a.m. (Suggest removal)

GoBuffs!!! see you at the game

Posted by MDBuff on September 29, 2007 at 9:24 a.m. (Suggest removal)

It's going to be tough to hang with OU. Let's hope the defense holds them, and we get the running game to move the chains and eat the clock. On any given Saturday... Go Buffs!

Posted by OUBuff on September 29, 2007 at 1:02 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Playing well so far as half approaches. Hey, what ever happened to BJax? I never heard.

Posted by T1 on September 29, 2007 at 3:09 p.m. (Suggest removal)

2ndbuff? Where you at now?

Posted by cuav8er on September 29, 2007 at 3:24 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Where oh where has 2nd Buff Gone where oh where can he be. Will He come back as Dr. Tom or stay away. Hopefully the latter.

Posted by RIBuff on September 29, 2007 at 3:36 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Neil,

Can't wait to read your column now. I guess we learned something about our football team today didn't we?

Nice win.

GO Buffs Go!!!!

Posted by BuffTime on September 29, 2007 at 4:10 p.m. (Suggest removal)

I second OUBuff, please give us an update on BJax. Great win for CU. Hope this helps the recruiting! Time for all of the "experts" tp redo their predictions for the remainder of the season.

Posted by OUBuff on September 29, 2007 at 6:31 p.m. (Suggest removal)

Well after a long absence, I think we will actually see CU in the "others receiving votes" section this week. I know it's not quite ranked, but it will be a good step in the right direction. That win can be nothing but good. Good for ticket sales, good for recruiting, good for momentum, just plain good.

As for the catch, I saw nothing on film that told me the call should be overturned. Glad it was though. In college football this year I have seen many calls go the other way from what I thought when it came to video review. Maybe they had a different view than we had. But you have to say it was a great call on Hawk's part to challenge that one.

Oh one more thing, did you notice the control of the crowd when they ran on to the field? Not quite the out of control "bad" fans that the husker fans proclaim we have.

Posted by mgmtgrad on September 30, 2007 at 9:41 a.m. (Suggest removal)

GREAT GAME, Hope this gets more games on TV this year. And what about recruiting, this win will get a lot of attention.

I hope we don't get ranked to high to quickly... I'd like to see the BUFFS move into and up the rankings a few spots per week to a top ten by the end of season. Keep's them on the hunt and a little disrepect fuels the fire.

To all of the players that are reading this GREAT GAME. You played with a lot of heart and soul, THANK YOU.

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